/games/2026-11-11/lightning-vs-sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres prediction & odds

NHL · Wed, Nov 11 · 7:00 PM ET · Coming up

TBLAway · Tampa Bay Lightning · 11-4-2

24pts

BUFHome · Buffalo Sabres · 8-6-3

19pts

Full preview arrives on game day

We simulate this game 20,000 times on the morning of Wednesday, around 8:07 AM ET, once the latest team and goalie data is in.

Sims start inWed, Nov 11, ~8:07 AM ET

Win odds and fair prices for moneyline, puck line and totals
The chance of each exact score after 60 minutes
A plain-English quick read of why the model leans one way

Season so far

Where the two teams stand today. The game-day sim uses each team's underlying shot quality, not just results.

Points11-4-2 vs 8-6-3 (W-L-OTL)

TBL

BUF

Points %Share of available points taken

TBL

70.6%

BUF

55.9%

Regulation winsFirst standings tiebreaker

TBL

BUF

Projected pointsAverage over 10,000 simulated seasons

TBL

106

BUF

Playoff oddsFrom the standings sim

TBL

92.2%

BUF

21.7%

Also on Wednesday

All games →

NYR @ CGY7:30 PM ET PHI @ EDM9:00 PM ET UTA @ VGK9:30 PM ET PIT @ SJS10:00 PM ET NSH @ ANA10:00 PM ET

Each game is played out in 10-second steps with power plays, score effects, pulled goalies, 3v3 overtime and shootouts. This page updates itself on game day, with the same address.

How the model works →Standings sim →