Standings sim
Playoff odds
The rest of the regular season simulated 10,000 times · 1,068 games left · updated Nov 8, 3:33 AM ET
At a glance
Presidents' Trophy favoriteCAR 58.0%
Most projected pointsCAR 120.0
Right on the bubbleWSH 49.3% to make it
Presidents' Trophy race
Chance of finishing with the most points in the league.
Bar = 80% range of final pointsDot = averagePlayoffs = top 3 in division or a wild card
Eastern Conference
Atlantic
Projected pointsTBL11-3-224 pts
108
94.9%
45%BOS12-4-125 pts
104
85.7%
20%MTL11-3-325 pts
103
84.8%
19%FLA9-6-220 pts
100
73.4%
10%OTT11-6-123 pts
97
60.1%
6%BUF8-5-319 pts
90
21.1%
1%DET7-8-317 pts
88
15.0%
0%TOR8-8-218 pts
84
5.8%
0%Metropolitan
Projected pointsCAR14-3-230 pts
120
>99%
89%NJD12-5-024 pts
106
93.1%
9%NYR10-7-121 pts
98
67.4%
1%WSH9-6-018 pts
95
49.3%
1%NYI7-6-317 pts
91
29.4%
0%PIT6-9-214 pts
86
12.2%
0%CBJ7-8-014 pts
84
7.5%
0%PHI4-10-412 pts
74
0.4%
0%Western Conference
Central
Projected pointsMIN12-3-428 pts
115
99.8%
76%DAL10-5-222 pts
103
90.2%
10%COL10-6-222 pts
100
82.8%
5%UTA10-7-121 pts
100
82.3%
5%NSH8-4-521 pts
98
75.6%
3%STL7-8-216 pts
92
45.1%
1%WPG6-8-315 pts
85
11.5%
0%CHI4-13-19 pts
68
0.1%
0%Pacific
Projected pointsVGK11-5-224 pts
105
97.9%
64%EDM12-3-327 pts
100
92.3%
30%SEA9-6-119 pts
88
42.2%
2%LAK5-8-212 pts
87
34.9%
2%ANA9-7-119 pts
86
32.5%
2%CGY7-9-115 pts
79
7.3%
0%SJS7-11-115 pts
78
5.6%
0%VAN3-15-17 pts
62
<0.1%
0%Every remaining game is played with the same simulator as the game previews, using each team's current ratings and its most-used goalie. Wins are worth 2 points and OT/SO losses 1. Ties in the standings go to regulation wins, then a coin flip.
How the model works →How accurate is it? →