Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions, odds & playoff chances · 2026–27
Atlantic Division · 3rdEastern ConferenceBenchmark International Arena, Tampa
Record11-4-224 points · 3rd in the Atlantic
Playoff odds91.5%
Projected points10680% range 96–115
Division title33.0%Presidents' Trophy 2.9%
Last 106-2-2
Lightning at Blue Jackets
Upcoming games
Our win chance appears on game dayThu, Nov 19Edmonton OilersThu, Nov 19 · Home · 7:30 PM ET · Benchmark International ArenaGame day
Sun, Nov 22Buffalo SabresSun, Nov 22 · Home · 5:00 PM ET · Benchmark International ArenaGame day
Wed, Nov 25Carolina HurricanesWed, Nov 25 · Home · 7:00 PM ET · Benchmark International ArenaGame day
Results
Last 10 games · newest firstNov 7@ Minnesota WildAway · OTW4–3Before launch
Nov 5Chicago BlackhawksHome · Benchmark International ArenaW4–1Before launch
Nov 3Detroit Red WingsHome · Benchmark International ArenaW4–2Before launch
Oct 31@ Nashville PredatorsAway · SOOTL4–5Before launch
Oct 29Winnipeg JetsHome · Benchmark International ArenaW6–4Before launch
Oct 24@ Utah MammothAway · OTOTL4–5Before launch
Oct 23@ Colorado AvalancheAwayL3–6Before launch
Oct 20@ Vegas Golden KnightsAwayW6–2Before launch
Our call shows for games played since PuckPreview launched on Nov 8, 2026.
How the Lightning rate
League rank out of 32 in the numbers our simulator uses (expected goals from MoneyPuck)5-on-5 offenseExpected goals for per 604th
5-on-5 defenseExpected goals against per 608th
Power playExpected goals per 60 on the PP18th
Penalty killExpected goals against per 60 shorthanded13th
DisciplinePenalties drawn minus taken2nd
Bars are longer for better ranks. Top-10 in 5-on-5 offense, 5-on-5 defense and discipline.
Atlantic Division
Points · playoff oddsCurrent squad
24 players on the active roster · season statsNumberForwards · 14PosShootsAgeHt · WtGPGAPts
21Brayden PointCalgary, AB · CANC · 30 yrs · 5′11″ · CANCR305′11″ · 1741751116
23Sam O'ReillyToronto, ON · CANRW · 20 yrs · 6′2″ · CANRWR206′2″ · 1981011
25Jeffrey VielRimouski, QC · CANLW · 29 yrs · 6′0″ · CANLWL296′0″ · 21815022
28Zemgus GirgensonsRiga · LVAC · 32 yrs · 6′3″ · LVACL326′3″ · 20015134
29Pontus HolmbergVasteras · SWERW · 27 yrs · 6′0″ · SWERWL276′0″ · 198186713
37Yanni GourdeSaint-Narcisse, QC · CANC · 34 yrs · 5′10″ · CANCL345′10″ · 1752101
38Brandon HagelSaskatoon, SK · CANLW · 28 yrs · 6′2″ · CANLWL286′2″ · 18518111021
49Scott SabourinOrleans, ON · CANRW · 34 yrs · 6′3″ · CANRWR346′3″ · 2105112
59Jake GuentzelOmaha, NE · USAC · 32 yrs · 5′11″ · USACL325′11″ · 17618101222
71Anthony CirelliEtobicoke, ON · CANC · 29 yrs · 6′1″ · CANCL296′1″ · 190185914
86Nikita KucherovMaykop · RUSRW · 33 yrs · 5′11″ · RUSRWL335′11″ · 1721881826
93Gage GoncalvesMission, BC · CANC · 25 yrs · 6′2″ · CANCL256′2″ · 19315033
94Conor GeekieStrathclair, MB · CANC · 22 yrs · 6′5″ · CANCL226′5″ · 22018415
95Ilya MikheyevOmsk · RUSRW · 32 yrs · 6′2″ · RUSRWL326′2″ · 20018437
NumberDefense · 8PosShootsAgeHt · WtGPGAPts
24Max CrozierCalgary, AB · CAND · 26 yrs · 6′3″ · CANDR266′3″ · 20710033
27Ryan McDonaghSt. Paul, MN · USAD · 37 yrs · 6′1″ · USADL376′1″ · 21818224
51Charle-Edouard D'AstousRimouski, QC · CAND · 28 yrs · 6′2″ · CANDL286′2″ · 213173912
74John CarlsonNatick, MA · USAD · 36 yrs · 6′3″ · USADR366′3″ · 225186915
77Victor HedmanOrnskoldsvik · SWED · 35 yrs · 6′7″ · SWEDL356′7″ · 22917426
78Emil LillebergSarpsborg · NORD · 25 yrs · 6′3″ · NORDL256′3″ · 2106000
81Erik CernakKosice · SVKD · 29 yrs · 6′4″ · SVKDR296′4″ · 23217077
90J.J. MoserBiel · CHED · 26 yrs · 6′2″ · CHEDL266′2″ · 18218011
NumberGoalies · 2PosCatchesAgeHt · WtGPWLSV%
35Dennis HildebyJarfalla · SWEG · 25 yrs · 6′6″ · SWEGL256′6″ · 227430.880
88Andrei VasilevskiyTyumen · RUSG · 32 yrs · 6′4″ · RUSGL326′4″ · 2201494.885
Roster and stats from the NHL, refreshed every morning. Injured reserve and call-ups show up as they happen.
Coach & general manager
Head coachJon Cooper
General managerJulien BriseBois
From team announcements, checked Nov 12, 2026.
Top scorers
G · A · PtsNikita KucherovRW · 18 GP81826
Jake GuentzelC · 18 GP101222
Brandon HagelLW · 18 GP111021
Brayden PointC · 17 GP51116
John CarlsonD · 18 GP6915
Anthony CirelliC · 18 GP5914
Our calls on Lightning games
1 of 2favorites right since launch. Small sample for now; this fills in as the season goes. Track record →Team facts
First NHL season1992
Stanley Cups3 · last in 2021
ArenaBenchmark International Arena
Home cityTampa, FL
DivisionAtlantic · Eastern
Useful links
Lightning questions
Will the Lightning make the playoffs?
They make it in 91.5% of our 10,000 simulated seasons, finishing with about 106 points (80% range 96–115). They win the Atlantic Division 33.0% of the time.
When do the Lightning play next?
Thursday, Nov 12, away at the Columbus Blue Jackets, 7:00 PM ET. Our full prediction with win chances is published on game day.
Who is the Lightning' starting goalie?
Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 14 of 17 games (9-4-1, .885). Dennis Hildeby has started 4 of 17 games (3-0-1, .880). We confirm each night’s starter on the game page once it is announced.
Who coaches the Lightning?
Jon Cooper is head coach and Julien BriseBois is general manager.
How good are the Lightning this season?
Top-10 in 5-on-5 offense, 5-on-5 defense and discipline in the expected-goals numbers our simulator uses (MoneyPuck). Their 11-4-2 record has them 3rd in the Atlantic.
Other Atlantic teams
Boston BruinsMontréal CanadiensOttawa SenatorsFlorida PanthersBuffalo SabresToronto Maple LeafsDetroit Red Wings
All 32 teams →